Sector rotation to start the year, not a surprise given the setup going into year end. However, the big question is whether or not the Fed will commit a policy error. Traders are on the watch for a 2018 Q4 disaster. Time will tell. To summarize, this week’s trading action is tied to the now […]
2022 stock market predictions are common to start a new year. Not surprisingly, Wall Street loves to parade out fund managers and analysts with their crystal balls and pixie dust. Well, I think this year I will do the same with the warning that I’m a flexible investor, so my opinion does change if the […]
Okay, how do you trade stocks using the VIX? Put this on a sticky note and paste it to your monitor. If stocks rise along with the VIX, take defensive measures. During October once we’d past the seasonal weakness, the VIX steadily declined as stocks rallied (first blue bar). This setup is music to my […]
Small cap stocks breakout of a year long trading range adding more fuel to the risk asset bull market in the United States. All year I was puzzled by the lagging small cap sector. But, finally this week the bulls bid up small cap stocks to new multi-year highs. I must admit that I didn’t […]
Treasury yield curve and inflation expectations look lousy and the stock market continues higher. The narrative around inflation is a hot topic on Wall Street and Washington these days. From the markets perspective, we are in the beginning stages of a tightening cycle. Surely, some will argue the Fed decision to taper yesterday is not […]
Yep, that’s right! It’s back, the Ultimate Investor Update #11. The point of this article is to quickly review global finance and determine if it’s safe to own risk assets. I do that by covering 3-5 markets each update. Sometimes I dive deep into a particular market because a huge narrative has surfaced unexpectedly. Often […]
Should you buy the dip in stock prices? Surely, if you follow this blog you know my opinion on stocks. And that is we’re in a stock bull market. The biggest stock bull market in history. What’s truly incredible is we no longer get price corrections. Indeed, we do get small pull backs of 1% […]
Non-farm payrolls surprise economists, driven by easing of pandemic restrictions. Shocker, eh! That was this mornings headline response to the monthly non-farm payrolls data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Non-farm payroll highlights: employment rose by 943,000, expected 845,000, best since August 2020 Unemployment rate slid to 5.4%, expected 5.7% increase driven by growth […]
Making use of market technical analysis gives you a competitive advantage and a boost to the bottom line. This article, or update, aims to give you all the important information to keep your portfolio on track. Of course, if things get crazy, you’ll find out what trades to make right here. Holy Grail Markets To […]
Inflation and the bond market have puzzled investors since forever. Surely you’ve noticed the price of everything seems to be going up these days. But, is inflation taking root in our daily lives like the financial TV networks claim? Without a doubt understanding inflation is important. More importantly, the difference between inflation and deflation is […]
