Is it time to turn up the risk needle? Welcome to Alpha Dawg! My almost daily note about global self-directed investing and trading. You get all my investing ideas, analysis, and risk management techniques. I hope you enjoy the content. I aim for about 500 words or a 2 minute read. Alpha – noun abnormal […]
Category: Trades
All Alpha Dawg trades are assigned to this category.
Core CPI snuffs peak inflation hopes
Core CPI snuffs peak inflation hopes, including mine. Last month I wrote about the possibility inflation had peaked, you can read that post here. Unfortunately, today’s monthly CPI data release by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics sets a new inflation record. The inflation outlook is less than good. Stocks tank. Welcome to Alpha Dawg! […]
Alpha Dawg – trade – ESI
Short-term I see a volatile market ahead for the remainder of the year. Risk is high. Times like these make or break traders. So, my advice is to dial back your risk. A little risk goes a long way. Welcome to Alpha Dawg! My almost daily note about global self-directed investing and trading. You get […]
Bitcoin trade stopped out
Bitcoin trade stopped out at a profit today. This morning I added a trailing stop to my BTCC (Purpose Bitcoin ETF) at $9.40. Later on the order was filled at $9.38 after being on the books for 12 days. Here is the P/L breakdown. $8.90 – buy #1 $8.19 – sell #1 (predetermined stop hit) […]
Bitcoin trade back on
Last week I dipped my toe back into Bitcoin (see here) and swiftly got stopped out. Frustrating, yes! But that’s trading. It took me many years to understand the difference between luck (or no luck) and sound risk management. To be sure, last week’s Bitcoin trade was bad luck. Some may argue for a wider […]
New trade: China Real Estate ETF (CHIR)
Investors have avoided investing in China since February 2021. Since that time, all Chinese equities declined massively. No sector was spared from the relentless selling. Below is a chart of FXI, an ETF representing China blue chip stocks, clearly illustrates the damage. To be sure, multiple reasons discouraged investment in China and the entire region. […]
Trade update: bitcoin
My bitcoin trade is not going according to plan. As we head into the weekend, BTCC opened within a hair of my stop loss trigger. You can find my original trade post here. The chart below illustrates how razor close I am to bailing out of this trade. To be sure, I am tempted to […]
Buy bitcoin as a trade not an investment
I thought I’d walk through a trade I put on this week. To be clear, this is a short-term tactical trade, not an investment. Meaning I’m looking to capture a short-term rebound in crypto. To be sure, the risk profile of the entire market has changed thanks to Putin’s invasion of Ukraine. We’ve navigated through […]
Mean reversion trade ideas
Mean reversion trade ideas sometimes yield outsized returns. This type of trade has been around forever and still has a decent chance of success. Of course, this entirely depends on sound risk management practices. There is nothing worse than putting on a trade and losing money because you can’t admit you’re wrong. At the moment, […]